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Mortgage Minute
The forces moving Canadian mortgage rates, in sixty seconds, and what they mean for your clients.
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Michael Friedman
Mortgage Broker · Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way
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On My Radar
Canada's 5-year bond yield — the number fixed mortgage rates key off — eased to 3.24% this week after U.S. inflation and jobs data came in soft. Nice, but it's a rounding error, not a trend: long-term borrowing costs are still grinding higher and central bankers aren't signalling cuts. The next real mover is the August 19 tariff deadline, which nobody can time—so encourage your buyers to lock in pre-approvals now to hedge against possible rate increases.
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Why these matter: Government of Canada bond yields are the main input lenders use to price fixed mortgages, so fixed rates tend to track them over time.
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Current Rate Ranges
Variable to 5-Year Fixed
3.44% – 4.69%
There are thousands of unique combinations of loan types, terms, and lender programs; a buyer’s exact rate is customized to their specific situation. The daily Rate Ranges give you a reliable baseline, but we always run the actual scenario to give your clients an honest, precise, personalized quote.
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Implied Probabilities (BoC)
Next meeting
Sep 2, 2026
Odds of move: 2%
Implied move: -25 bps
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Following meeting
Oct 28, 2026
Odds of move: 24%
Implied move: +25 bps
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Market-implied chances of a Bank of Canada rate move at the next two scheduled meetings, with the implied change in basis points. Derived from overnight index swap pricing. As of August 14, 2026.
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Collaborative Marketing Resources
The Upsizer Smart Move Campaign
A ready-to-run client campaign for move-up buyers: a five-email sequence plus supporting pieces that walk a homeowner through the move-up decision — the idea, the math, a client story, and a soft introduction to mortgage planning. Built for you to deploy to your own database, end to end.
Click here to learn more →
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Michael Friedman, Mortgage Broker , Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way. Licensed in BC and Alberta. An independent mortgage resource available to RE/MAX Westcoast agents and their clients; not the exclusive or in-house broker of RE/MAX Westcoast. Agents and clients are free to use any mortgage professional.
604-657-1684 · michael@michaelfriedmanamp.com · michaelfriedmanamp.com
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