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Michael Friedman — Premier Mortgage Advisement
Mortgage Minute The forces moving Canadian mortgage rates, in sixty seconds, and what they mean for your clients.
Michael Friedman Michael Friedman
Mortgage Broker · Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way
On My Radar

Canada's 5-year bond yield — the number fixed mortgage rates key off — eased to 3.24% this week after U.S. inflation and jobs data came in soft. Nice, but it's a rounding error, not a trend: long-term borrowing costs are still grinding higher and central bankers aren't signalling cuts. The next real mover is the August 19 tariff deadline, which nobody can time—so encourage your buyers to lock in pre-approvals now to hedge against possible rate increases.

GoC bond yields and economic indicators

Why these matter: Government of Canada bond yields are the main input lenders use to price fixed mortgages, so fixed rates tend to track them over time.

Current Rate Ranges Variable to 5-Year Fixed 3.44% – 4.69%

There are thousands of unique combinations of loan types, terms, and lender programs; a buyer’s exact rate is customized to their specific situation. The daily Rate Ranges give you a reliable baseline, but we always run the actual scenario to give your clients an honest, precise, personalized quote.

Implied Probabilities (BoC)
Next meeting
Sep 2, 2026
Odds of move: 2%
Implied move: -25 bps
Following meeting
Oct 28, 2026
Odds of move: 24%
Implied move: +25 bps
Market-implied chances of a Bank of Canada rate move at the next two scheduled meetings, with the implied change in basis points. Derived from overnight index swap pricing. As of August 14, 2026.
Collaborative Marketing Resources

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Prestige Club Top 2% 2025 Champion Hall of Fame Award Elite Hall of Fame Award Dominion Lending Centres

Michael Friedman, Mortgage Broker , Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way. Licensed in BC and Alberta. An independent mortgage resource available to RE/MAX Westcoast agents and their clients; not the exclusive or in-house broker of RE/MAX Westcoast. Agents and clients are free to use any mortgage professional.

604-657-1684 · michael@michaelfriedmanamp.com · michaelfriedmanamp.com

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