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Michael Friedman — Premier Mortgage Advisement
Mortgage Minute The forces moving Canadian mortgage rates, in sixty seconds, and what they mean for your clients.
Michael Friedman Michael Friedman
Mortgage Broker · Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way 604-657-1684 · michael@michaelfriedmanamp.com · michaelfriedmanamp.com
On My Radar

Canada lost 68,300 jobs in September, its second straight monthly decline, and unemployment rose to 6.5%, erasing this year’s job gains. This was the Bank of Canada’s last labour report before its October 28 decision, and a print this weak makes a rate hike much harder to justify. Fixed rates have still been climbing with the Bank on hold, because the 5-year Government of Canada bond yield pushed above 3.6% this month and the best insured 5-year fixed is near 4.34%. If bond yields ease on today’s news, that’s a good window to lock buyers into a 120-day rate hold, and I’m happy to set one up for any of your clients.

GoC bond yields and economic indicators

Why these matter: Government of Canada bond yields are the main input lenders use to price fixed mortgages, so fixed rates tend to track them over time.

Current Rate Ranges Variable to 5-Year Fixed 3.60% – 4.89%

There are thousands of unique combinations of loan types, terms, and lender programs; a buyer’s exact rate is customized to their specific situation. The daily Rate Ranges give you a reliable baseline, but we always run the actual scenario to give your clients an honest, precise, personalized quote.

Implied Probabilities (BoC)
Next meeting
Oct 28, 2026
Odds of move: 38%
Implied move: +25 bps
Following meeting
Dec 9th, 2026
Odds of move: 100%
Implied move: +25 bps
Market-implied chances of a Bank of Canada rate move at the next two scheduled meetings, with the implied change in basis points. Derived from overnight index swap pricing. As of Sept 25th , 2026.
Collaborative Marketing Resources

The Upsizer Smart Move Campaign

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Prestige Club Top 2% 2025 Champion Hall of Fame Award Elite Hall of Fame Award Dominion Lending Centres

Michael Friedman, Mortgage Broker , Dominion Lending Centres – A Better Way. Licensed in BC and Alberta.

604-657-1684 · michael@michaelfriedmanamp.com · michaelfriedmanamp.com

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